Pak-China alliance challenges India across region

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2026-05-26T16:41:59+05:00 M Abdullah Hamid Gul

Modi needed a big adventure ahead of the Bihar Assembly elections. So, as usual, our stubborn eternal enemy scripted a plan at Delhi’s Rashtrapati Bhavan. On April 27, 2025, they staged a false flag attack in Pahalgam. Before they could even count the bodies, Pakistan was named the culprit. India’s godi media started beating the war drums. Anchors began their anti-Pakistan rant, retired Indian generals started drawing arrows on maps, all chanting the same slogan: “We’ll cross the border and strike.”

On the night of May 6–7, so-called Operation Sindoor was announced. Mosques and Madaaris in Pakistan were labeled terrorist camps and attacked. India claimed they destroyed 9 hideouts, killed over 100 terrorists and assured their nation that the 56-inch chest is protecting them. But Delhi forgot this isn’t 2019, it’s 2025. This isn’t the same old Pakistan. Today, Pakistan’s weapons are different and its military command believes in establishing a new normal.

Meanwhile, India’s calculation was simple: S-400 will cover us, Rafael’s Spectra system will protect us and Pakistan’s J-10Cs won’t stand a chance. But the game changed. The world saw six Indian aircraft: three Rafaels, one MiG-29, one Su-30 and a surveillance drone, brought down far from Pakistani skies. The S-400 game changer turned into a heap of ash. Pakistan, under Operation Banyan al-Marsus, shattered India’s teeth. Delhi, Mumbai, Bengaluru plunged into darkness. The BJP’s own website was hacked with “Pakistan Zindabad,” leaving the enemy stunned. The one who wanted to “cross and strike” got badly beaten. On the first anniversary of the so-called Operation Sindoor, Indian General Rajeev Ghai said: “We have one border and three enemies; Pakistan, China and Turkey. 80% of Pakistan’s weapons are Chinese-made and they’ve learned their lesson from Operation Sindoor.” But let that Indian general know, our 80% Chinese-made weapons are exactly why Pakistan has clear superiority over India. Our air force, missile force, drones, radar and naval power work as one integrated system. That’s the biggest success. And now, on August 14, Pakistan will unveil the fifth-generation stealth fighter jet J-35 which is something that will keep India awake at night. On the other hand, India has Russian jets, French Rafales, Israeli and US surveillance systems and the Russian S-400 defense system. Critics say this diversity is a big hurdle in creating a coordinated war ecosystem. It’s like trying to make jam out of random squeaky toys.

On one side is India, wanting to be the region’s self-proclaimed “net security provider” and act like a bully. On the other side is the Pakistan-China strategic alliance is not only changing the geographic balance but also shattering India’s dreams of dominance. Delhi lives in the illusion that the Indian Ocean is the Indian Lake. In that arrogance, it turned Andaman and Nicobar into an “invincible” naval fortress. Under the Quad banner, it brought the US, Japan and Australia into the region. Boosting Western influence is part of the same policy. The question is—who is India doing all this for? To fulfill its expansionist ambitions, after Ladakh in 2020, India expanded missile and air bases in the Andaman Islands. This clearly means they want to choke China by controlling the Malacca Strait. That’s not security but economic terrorism. So, if India has no problem with the US base in Diego Garcia, why does it get triggered over China in Gwadar? Because India doesn’t see Gwadar as just an economic project, it sees it as a threat to its own supremacy. In the Indian Ocean, the real contest is no longer just warships but it’s about sea denial and choke point strategies. Gwadar has changed the game. Oil will land in Gwadar and go overland to Kashgar. No Malacca threat. No Indian navy blackmail. That’s the strategy that has Delhi losing its mind. Gwadar isn’t a choke point for Pakistan rather it’s becoming a trade hub. A permanent airbase in Jiwani, coastal defense from Karachi to Gwadar built with Chinese help—including submarines in Ormara, all of it together is becoming a no-go area for the Indian Navy. On the other side, India keeps beating the drum of “Chabahar,” but even that has become a no-go zone for them. Meanwhile, Chinese investment in Gwadar has crossed $62 billion.

In the next five years, the map will completely change. By April 2026, Pakistan’s first Hangor submarine will already be in the sea, extending India’s aircraft threat zone by 300 kilometers. By 2028, China’s fourth aircraft carrier will be permanently in the Indian Ocean, with two carrier groups present at all times. By 2030, Pakistan-China J-20 and J-35 squadrons will be fully deployed in Gwadar—meaning complete control over the Indian Air Force.

So what will India do? Tejas hasn’t flown in 20 years. France isn’t giving the source code for the 114 Rafale deal. The nuclear submarine INS Arighant is still not fully operational. Delhi has no time, no technology, no money. Now, the contest in the Indian Ocean isn’t about weapons, it’s about vision. India’s vision is to rule alone. Pakistan and China’s vision is to grow together. History shows that those who connect sea win, not those who try to control them. Today, Pakistan and China are taking the Indian Ocean away from rivalry and toward connectivity. And that path guarantees peace, trade and prosperity for Asia. India can join this new Asia if it wants or keep counting “one border, three enemies” until the list gets even longer.

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